In a shocking announcement sending the industry into a tailspin, two researchers at Princeton have predicted the demise of Facebook within three years, using an epidemiological model. (For those of you who have no idea what the word “epidemiological” means, just keep reading. The only thing that matters is that you leave a positive comment at the end.)
According to the researchers, the growth of Facebook can be compared to the growth curve of a “disease”, which spreads infectiously on a large-scale among people, and ultimately dies out. The researchers said that “epidemiological models” have successfully described the `vast spread and eventual fade out’ phenomena underlying both `ideas’ and `diseases.’
To elaborate their point, the researchers asserted that “communicative contact” helps spread ideas between different people who share ideas with one another; and added that `idea manifesters’ ultimate loss of interest with the idea and its slackened manifestation can be considered “the gain of ‘immunity’ to the idea.” (For a translation of this sentence, send a blank check to “Life in the Boomer Lane.”)
The Princeton researchers have based their prediction of Facebook’s ultimate “die out” on the number of times Internet users type the term `Facebook’ into Google as a search item. Pointing out that Facebook is losing its attraction among users, the researchers said that nearly 80 percent of the Facebook users – which currently total up to 1.2 billion – will likely quit the social network by 2017.
At risk are all body parts associated with Facebook, specifically the thumbs up that most Facebookers casually toss out, whether responding to a photo of a baby, a rutabaga, or the announcement that the poster has contracted a terminal illness. “We expect a lot of Facebook members to be losing thumbs within the next couple years, as the disease ramps up.” The researchers left no doubt that thumbs were the tip of the iceberg.
As expected, the announcement caught the attention of numerous media organizations and quickly went viral (Note to readers: the word viral referred to in this sentence is a good thing, not a bad thing like the other kinds of viruses, which are really icky and can cause blood coming out of your eyeballs and stuff like that), and it wasn’t long before Facebook took notice.
Facebook, using all of its intellectual might, then searched Google for the number of hits “Princeton” got and the number of “Likes” Princeton got on its Facebook page. Based on that, Facebook declared that Princeton would be out of business in three years. Parents of high school seniors throughout the country have started a campaign to force all colleges and universities to now publicly post the number of search engine hits they get, as well as the number of Facebook Likes they get. “Our children are a national treasure,” one parent said. “They deserve the best education that exists, and this is the way to assure it.”
Ordinary Facebook users have been caught in the crossfire. Postings of babies and cats have gone down precipitously in the last few days, as posters fear that the virus will spread to photos. Pediatricians and vets have fielded numerous phone calls regarding the announcement and are now advising Facebookers that if they must continue posting photos of their children and pets, they should have them wear surgical masks before they take the photo.
On the plus side, comments have more than tripled on inspirational postings. One recent post, “We are only as strong as we believe ourselves to be,” generated thousands of thumbs up and comments. Most people thanked the poster and declared that her words had changed their outlook on life. Another posting, “Life occurs anew each day. What can you do to make today your best day ever?” generated a similar response.
On the political front, Republicans have accused the Obama administration of using Princeton, a “bastion of religion-hating and morals-hating liberals” to spread its fear-mongering tactics and discourage true Americans from communication with each other. Dems, not to be outdone, accused Republicans of using Facebook to cut taxes for the rich. The American Society of Cute Pets accused both parties of not caring enough about ferrets.
Predictions have not yet been made about how this will impact on the 2016 run for the White House.
joeyfullystated
January 27, 2014
This made me giggle quite a bit. So did the original study. I recall a time not so long ago, when people said the internet was a fad…Along the same lines, people said the same of electricity, motor cars, telephones….
Great post!
Life in the Boomer Lane
January 28, 2014
Glad to have provided you with a giggle. I live in a 1912 house in which it was clear the builder thought electricity was a fad. And closets.
joeyfullystated
January 28, 2014
LOL! I’m not far behind you, mine is 1920. Closets have been made and electricity has been updated, but I’ve known many houses like yours.
Ally Bean
January 27, 2014
Clever. I’m not a fan of FB so this sounds like good news to me.
Life in the Boomer Lane
January 28, 2014
Thanks, Ally. If FB meets its demise, there will be another outlet in which folks can display their pets and babies.
Ally Bean
January 28, 2014
Hadn’t thought of that. You are so right. *sigh*
Susan in TX
January 27, 2014
It would be such fun to live in your head for a day or two. Creepy maybe. But fun nevertheless. (And my day is now a success because I used the word nevertheless.)
Life in the Boomer Lane
January 28, 2014
This might be the most on-target comment anyone has ever said to me, except for the person who told me I was a cross between the Lil Rascals and Mother Teresa.
btg5885
January 27, 2014
Too funny. When parents get on and friend their kids, the kids find other sources. So, Princeton may not be all wet.
Life in the Boomer Lane
January 28, 2014
Agreed. But we will keep chasing after them, won’t we? Payback.
benzeknees
January 27, 2014
I think Baby Boomers will help to keep FB going longer than predicted as we use it to keep track of what our children & grandchildren are doing. Most of them are too busy to keep us abreast of their activities, but seem to have time to post everything about themselves on FB. It becomes a handy tool for us to know what they’re doing.
Life in the Boomer Lane
January 28, 2014
You have a point, there. Alas, of my three, only one uses FB and that’s sparingly. But with teens, don’t they have the ability to block their parents?
benzeknees
January 28, 2014
None of my children are teens & thank goodness none of them block us! All our kids live 15 hours away from us so if they weren’t posting on FB we wouldn’t know what was happening in their lives.
Eric Tonningsen
January 27, 2014
Humor aside, I believe the folks at Princeton are on to something. Nearly all fads fade. It will be interesting to learn the accuracy of their “research.” My money is on PU.
Life in the Boomer Lane
January 28, 2014
FB will, of course, eventually fade. But methinks it will simply be replaced with another form of social media. I read an article recently that said that fewer and fewer teens are even texting anymore. Now they simply shoot photos at each other to show what they are doing from minute to minute. The photos only appear for a few seconds and are then gone forever, like spoken words.
dorannrule
January 27, 2014
This is a grand and funny post! It would be just my luck if FB dies when I’m just now getting comfortable with it. On the other hand, maybe that’s why it will die.
Life in the Boomer Lane
January 28, 2014
Thanks, Dorann. FB will die, and another platform will come along. Then another, then another….
Jill Foer Hirsch
January 27, 2014
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but I suspect we Boomers have doomed Facebook… http://universalmusings.com/?p=1747
Life in the Boomer Lane
January 28, 2014
Your post was spot on.
Snoring Dog Studio
January 28, 2014
It can’t happen soon enough for me. If a tree falls in the forest, it does make a noise. If FB falls, how many people will actually care? Not many. They’ll all move on to some other annoyingly intrusive, time-wasting social media site. Other sites will welcome with open arms pics of people eating a waffle with a fried chicken drumstick on top. People and IT geeks will find a way.
Life in the Boomer Lane
January 28, 2014
Oh my, I missed the one of the waffle with a fried chicken drumstick on top. I do have a friend who follows someone who posts a photo of his breakfast each morning. I’m sure this must enhance our civilization in some way.
Snoring Dog Studio
January 29, 2014
Giggle.
lauramacky
January 28, 2014
I’ve drastically reduced time on FB. Why do I want to update people every second of the day as to what I’m doing? It’s so stupid. I used to think it was a great way to interact, now I think it represents how people want so much to be acknowledged and how we lose the personal connection to someone that way. I post my pics on it but I pray it goes away completely! LOL! I’ll stick to wordpress thank you!
Life in the Boomer Lane
January 28, 2014
You mean my readers don’t want to know every second what I am doing? And here I was considering purchasing a mini cam that I could strap to my head. They’d see how many times I opened the refrigerator each day.
lauramacky
January 28, 2014
LOL!! Um ya no thanks…I’ll pass on figuring out whether you use 1- or 2-ply toilet paper. hahahahaha
Sarah Day
January 28, 2014
Not surprised by this. I’ve noticed my symptoms waning. And youngsters like my teenage daughter seem to have caught (and recovered from) a pretty mild case of FB flu.
Life in the Boomer Lane
January 28, 2014
I’ve been in a like/hate relationship with FB ever since it began. I still post my HuffPost pieces, but little else.
Betty Londergan
January 28, 2014
Kind of makes you wonder why facebook was valued at 8 quatrillion dollars, when it’s yet to have a single QUARTER where it makes a profit. Did nobody notice that myspace (the former facebook, folks, for those who forgot it even existed) lost all its users the minute that high schoolers noticed their middle school siblings were all on it?? Of course, the fact that every Boomer with a grandkid is slathering the site with photos hasn’t helped endear facebook to its ultimate audience: teens and twenty-somethings. Who wants to be on a site where your mom’s friends hang out?? I did, however, LOVE facebook’s pithy response to Yale … that almost made me sad for facebook’s inevitable decline. And tumblr’s … And twitter’s … As we Catholics like to say — Remember sites that thou art pixels, and unto pixels thou shalt return.
Life in the Boomer Lane
January 29, 2014
My daughter and her friends are far more connected to Instagram now, than to Facebook. And I’ve read that high schoolers are doing less and less texting. Now they shoot selfies at one another all day long. I love that saying about the pixels. You Catholics have all the fun.
Valentine Logar
January 29, 2014
Nah, it will never happen. Bill Gates will buy it, embed it into Windows and we will all be forced to use it as part of our communication pathway.
Life in the Boomer Lane
January 29, 2014
Funny, but do I detect a bit of bitterness there?
Valentine Logar
January 30, 2014
Maybe, just a wee bit
Jean
February 4, 2014
Great stuff. That’s why I don’t have a FB account.
Anushree Kulkarni
March 26, 2014
Reblogged this on Anything but ordinary.
Life in the Boomer Lane
March 26, 2014
Thanks for the reblog!